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Rainfall intensity duration frequency curve statistical analysis and modeling for Patna, Bihar

, Pappu Kumar, Madhusudan Narayan, , Mani Bhushan, · BOHR International Journal of Civil Engineering and Environmental Science · 2023

Using data from 41 years in Patna’ India’ the study’s goal is to analyze the trends of how often it rains on aweekly, seasonal, and annual basis (19812020). First, utilizing the intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curve and therelationship by statistically analyzing rainfall’ the historical rainfall data set for Patna’ India’ during a 41 year period(19812020), was evaluated for its quality. Changes in the hydrologic cycle as a result of increased greenhousegas emissions are expected to induce variations in the intensity, length, and frequency of precipitation events. Onestrategy to lessen vulnerability is to quantify probable changes and adapt to them. Techniques such as log-normal,normal, and Gumbel are used (EV-I). Distributions were created with durations of 1, 2, 3, 6, and 24 h and returntimes of 2, 5, 10, 25, and 100 years. There were also mathematical correlations discovered between rainfall andrecurrence interval. Findings:Based on findings, the Gumbel approach produced the highest intensity values, whereas the otherapproaches produced values that were close to each other. The data indicates that 461.9 mm of rain fell duringthe monsoon season’s 301st week. However, it was fou

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