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Artificial Intelligence Approaches for Predicting Diabetes in Egypt

Ayah H. Elsheikh, Hossam A. Ghazi, Nancy Awadallah Awad · International Journal of Artificial Intelligence & Applications · 2024

One major public health concern in Egypt is the increasing incidence of diabetes mellitus. It is essential to recognize problems early and treat them effectively [1]. This work applies several machine learning methods to predict diabetes risk using a dataset from Egyptian diabetes and endocrinology clinics. Features including age, BMI, medical history, and other health markers are included in the dataset. Using performance criteria such as confusion matrix, F1-score, recall, accuracy, and precision, we assessed various models including K-Neighbors, Gaussian Naive Bayes, Bernoulli Naive Bayes, Extra Trees, SVC, and Logistic Regression. The findings indicate that diabetes can be accurately predicted using machine learning. Logistic Regression, with a cross-validated accuracy of 0.965, test accuracy of 0.957, precision of 0.94, recall of 0.90, and an F1-score of 0.92, proved to be the most effective model for this dataset.

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