Personalized Course Recommendations Leveraging Machine and Transfer Learning Toward Improved Student Outcomes

University advising at matriculation must operate under strict information constraints, typically without any post-enrolment interaction history.We present a unified, leakage-free pipeline for predicting early dropout risk and generating cold-start programme recommendations from pre-enrolment signals alone, with an optional early-warning variant incorporating first-term academic aggregates. The approach instantiates lightweight multimodal architectures: tabular RNNs, DistilBERT encoders for compact profile sentences, and a cross-attention fusion module evaluated end-to-end on a public benchmark (UCI id 697; n = 3630 students across 17 programmes). For dropout, fusing text with numerics yields the strongest thresholded performance (Hybrid RNN–DistilBERT: f1-score ≈ 0.9161, MCC ≈ 0.7750, and simple ensembling modestly improves threshold-free discrimination (Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUROC) up to ≈0.9488). A text-only branch markedly underperforms, indicating that numeric demographics and early curricular aggregates carry the dominant signal at this horizon. For programme recommendation, pre-enrolment demographics alone support actionable rankings (Demographi