Abstract This article attempts to anticipate likely trends and developments in the field of engineering tribology. It is, of course, a personal view and the authors have chosen to focus on the field of concentrated contacts operating in elastohydrodynamic lubrication (EHL), where they are tempted to make the kind of predictions required with at least a modicum of confidence. The main thrust of the argument presented is that engineering tribology will develop considerably, and move towards modelling failure of the EHL mechanism rather than simply explaining its successful operation.
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