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Pan‐European High‐Resolution Downscaling Using Deep Learning

Ramón Fuentes–Franco, Kristofer Krus, Mikhail Ivanov, Torben Koenigk, Fuxing Wang, Aitor Aldama‐Campino · Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation · 2025

Abstract This study assesses the performance of a deep convolutional neural network in predicting near‐surface air temperature (T2m) and total precipitation (P) over Europe, comparing its results with the Copernicus European Regional Reanalysis (CERRA) and the dynamical regional model dynamical regional climate model (HCLIM) simulations. The ML‐model accurately captures broad seasonal temperature and precipitation patterns with minor biases in summer and more pronounced warm biases in winter. Although the model effectively reproduces the probability density functions (PDFs) of daily temperature and precipitation, it underestimates extreme cold events and in some regions also the high precipitation extremes. Climate indices, including cold extremes (TM2PCTL), warm extremes (TM98PCTL), consecutive dry days (CDD), and consecutive wet days (CWD), highlight that the ML‐model aligns closely with CERRA, though it slightly underestimates CDD and overestimates CWD, particularly in mountainous and Mediterranean regions. Analysis of spatiotemporal variability demonstrates high correlations with CERRA for temperature exceeding 0.99 for spatial correlations and 0.95 for tempor

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